What the Polls Aren’t Telling Us About Trump’s Lead by Terri Wu – US Politics News

News Analysis
Former President Donald Trump is trending up in the election.
He leads President Joe Biden by two to seven points in multi-candidate races in all swing states, according to an average of polls conducted from January through March. Trump is still in the lead when third-party candidates are excluded.

For pollsters, putting together a statistical sample that represents the electorate is a perennial challenge. Using polls to attempt to predict the outcome of an election is an even bigger hurdle to clear. Here are some factors that polls may not be telling us about the 2024 election.
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