Elections Modeler Changes Arizona Senate, Key House Race Ratings to ‘Leans Democrat’ by John Haughey – US Politics News

Arizona Democrats, with a timely assist from the state’s Supreme Court, have successfully positioned abortion to be a top 2024 campaign issue, a strategy they hope will benefit party candidates in close races in this and other battleground states nationwide.
According to the latest algorithmic modeling posted by Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball, that gambit may be paying off.
While the elections forecaster has not adjusted its “Toss-up” statewide electorate rating—meaning the presumed showdown between former President Donald Trump and President Joe Biden remains a “Toss-up”—Sabato’s Crystal Ball, on April 17, adjusted its electorate ratings in one of the state’s nine U.S. House districts and revised its U.S. Senate race forecast….